Moderator: Paralith
LifeEngineer wrote:Note to moderators: Slp in another thread brought up the subject of a formal “Falsify and Replace Darwinian Theory Demonstration” that has been discussed on a number of other websites.
While I am willing to discuss this topic here with slp and anyone else interested, I will only do so if there are no objections from the moderators. The mathematical calculations and assumptions used in this falsification argument are available on an excel spreadsheet on my website.
The ‘demonstration’ presented is not, at least IMO, particularly complex or controversial. The demonstration is summarized as follows:
1. Define a predictive form of Darwinian theory based on a literal interpretation of the theory.
2. Demonstrate mathematically that certain known genetic changes can not be explained mathematically in a manner consistent with the explicit expression of Darwin.
3. Supporters of Darwin have the opportunity to a) provide an alternative explicit Darwinian theory and/or b) an explicit demonstration that the observed genetic change phenomena can be explained in a manner consistent with an explicit predictive form of Darwinian theory.
4. Discuss the known ‘non-Darwinian’ third force or process needed to explain the observed genetic change data.
5. Present an alternative testable predictive theory that can explain the observed genetic change processes.
This demonstration has been discussed on several sites and no one has yet been produced either a counter demonstration nor an alternative predictive formulation of Darwinian theory. All that has ever been presented to counter this demonstration has been subjective opinions that are variations on “We don’t recognize that form of analysis”.
I very much doubt if slp has anything to add to what has been previously discussed, but if the moderators have no objection, I am willing to let him post his views.
mabus wrote:Do you two need a hug? :)
mabus wrote:It's important in a debate to always leave the door open for the possibility that everything we know may be wrong. That can only happen when you allow people to present arguments you disagree with. So as far as i personally am concerned, he's free to make whatever claims he wants here. If the claims are false you can feel free to attack their validity through reasoned debate and discussion. I don't see any merit in the idea of censoring thoughts or beliefs on a scientific debate forum.
LifeEngineer wrote:Quote: This is the funny part - this 'third force' is derived via declaring that natural forces cannot achieve the results.
Just to set the record straight, the finding of the demonstration are that the observed data can not be explained by the two forces RM and NS included in the literal Darwinian theory.
The major part of the third force needed to explain the observed result is a well known natural force that was clearly identified in the discussion. This third force or process is the error correction processes or mechanisms that are a recognized part of genetic change proceses.
The problem for modern biologists, is formulating a predictive theory of evolution/genetic change that incorporates error correction mechanisms.
What features are these?
Error correction mechanism while perfectly natural, include features that traditional biology is unwilling to see included in a predictive theory.
LifeEngineer wrote:It is mildly interesting to note that people like slp who imply that they are qualified experts on the subject, appear unable to provide concrete data and evidence to counter a relatively straight forward mathematical model.
An excel worksheet is even provided to let them play with numbers and data until they find data and a predictive theory that will fit their beliefs.
Back in the old days when biologists were careful about what kind of claims they made, the explanation for the offered falsification demonstration would have been "We currently do not have enough knowledge to formulate testable predictive theories of evolution".
For people that followed the old fashioned scientific standards, the 'interesting' part of this demonstration is not the falsification, but the fact that I have been able to fit the data to a new typoe of testable predictive theory that appears capable of passing testing.
1. Define a predictive form of Darwinian theory based on a literal interpretation of the theory.
2. Demonstrate mathematically that certain known genetic changes can not be explained mathematically in a manner consistent with the explicit expression of Darwin.
3. Supporters of Darwin have the opportunity to a) provide an alternative explicit Darwinian theory and/or b) an explicit demonstration that the observed genetic change phenomena can be explained in a manner consistent with an explicit predictive form of Darwinian theory.
4. Discuss the known ‘non-Darwinian’ third force or process needed to explain the observed genetic change data.
5. Present an alternative testable predictive theory that can explain the observed genetic change processes.
DEFINITION- The average number of likely or common mutations per gene based on the assumption that various common types of common mutations will occur at random. It would, for example, be expected that point mutations are likely in any base pair.
OBSERVED VALUE- Use estimate of 1500 based on assumption that average gene has 1500 base pairs and one common or likely point mutation per base pair.
2.3.14 VARIABLE V29- Anticipatory selection portion of total selection- Theory based
DEFINITION: Anticipator selection portion is that portion of the force of selection that selects out or eliminates alleles based on anticipation of the impact of the allele rather than on explicit expression of a phenotype.
Quote LE:1. Define a predictive form of Darwinian theory based on a literal interpretation of the theory.
Quote M: This isn't nessecary to do, as Darwinian theory already does it.
No alternative testable predictive theory is needed where we already have a viable, proven well tested theory already in place.
You appear to be arguing for a blind faith acceptance of a theory that does not need to be presented in a testable form. I often wonder what portion of biologists are actually comfortable with such an approach.
These philosophers thus concluded that while the evidence appears to be consistent with the assumption that the world has existed and changed overtime, there is no scientific method of determining the truth of evolution the fact.
Somewhere between the good old days and today, large numbers of biologists and science groupies began making the claim that "Darwinian theories are some of the best and most completely tested theories in science". I have yet to run into a biologist who is willing to actually produce either a formal hard science Darwinian theory, but I have encountered lots of people like yourself who know that the theory exists and has been tested exhaustively.
My test of Darwinian theory, is simply an effort to see if someone could actually produce a hard science predictive Darwinian theory that could pass even elementary testing. So far no one has produced the claim. So far the only ones who have even attempted to challenge the falsification argument are people like slp who don't appear to have a very good grasp of either math or science.
LifeEngineer wrote:It is amazing how rapidly slp’s claimed expertise evaporates when he is forced to actually address issues.
The following are just a few examples of his lack of understanding of science and math.
Quote with respect to mutation assumption: This is silly, frankly. You are assuming:
-all loci are equally likely to mutate
-all loci will mutate
-all such mutations should be observed
If you are to produce a predictive theory of genetic change involving mutation then you must provide a description, or at least a reasonable approximation of the frequency and distribution of mutations that will occur.
The assumption that point mutations will occur with similar frequencies at all locations is a good starting point assumption.
Rather than propose an alternative mutation assumption, slp simply rejects one assumption and refuses to propose an alternative. Without such an assumption he has no theory.
Quote: If the mutation is lethal, it will not be seen. Lethal mutations are not acted upon by natural selection any more than a bystander being shot by a stray bullet is an act of natural selection.
This again shows a lack of understanding of Darwinian concepts. If a mutation is lethal it will kill the organism and this will be observed as a death (a form of natural selection).
I think the reader can see that LE is unable to address the substantive errors and mistakes in his 'falsification' and is instead content to do what he usually tries to do - argue from his self-proclaimed uber-authority.
I think it pretty sad, however, as his is a documented phenomenon.
LifeEngineer wrote:The rigged rule you are objecting to is the rule that for a theory to be tested it must be explicitly defined. If you are willing to recognize such an elementary rule, there is clearly no basis for discussion.
mabus wrote:Slp;I think the reader can see that LE is unable to address the substantive errors and mistakes in his 'falsification' and is instead content to do what he usually tries to do - argue from his self-proclaimed uber-authority.
I think it pretty sad, however, as his is a documented phenomenon.
Stick to the issues. Refrain from commenting on WHO you are debating please.
LifeEngineer wrote: The whole point of this demonstration is that we know from observed results that lots of lethal and non-beneficial mutations are routinely and effectively removed from genome without any evidence of natural selection occurring.
Quote: 4. V26 TOTAL FORCE OF SELCTION FOR NON-OBSEVED ALLELES 100%
This assumes that: - all alleles occur at a frequency sufficient to be observed
- all non-visible alleles were selected against
What is the justification for those two assumptions?
This is a basic mathematical concept used in many fields of science and explained numerous times in the discussions, but slp still does not under stand it.
If you start with a mixture that does not contain the element x, you have a process that adds x to the mixture, and the ending mixture contains no evidence of x, then there must by some process that is removing 100% of x from the mixture.
I could go on, but clearly slp does not have the technical knowledge to make the discussion worth pursuing.
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